The end of the pandemic

Big words — but here is a possible way out, to be walked by each and everyone (as of Apr 02, 2021: 22 studies, 9 test results, 9 laboratories, (8 in continental europe, one in the UK) 3 results with cross-immunity and 1 correction)

Three pictures: the vitruvian man, an explosion on Pinterest, and a virus. Sources: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/f1/Vitruvian_Man_by_Leonardo_da_Vinci.jpghttps://i.pinimg.com/originals/dd/28/a9/dd28a9cc255253f2aa3a0fe9f825455a.jpghttps://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/82/SARS-CoV-2_without_background.png Da Vinci would be would turning in his grave…

The pandemic just doesn’t want to go away

— despite Ioannidis
Who wrote on March 17th 2020, ‘we are making decisions without reliable data’ (and unfortunately: yes! — that has not changed to this day!), And instead of ’a-once-in-a-century pandemic […] it may also be a once-in-a-century evidence fiasco’.

Enitre year 2020, peak values ​​in spring (week 8–12) in the diagram are from 2018. The ‘mountain’ in summer (week 30–33) are the excess deaths from the summer heat waves. Source: https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Querschnitt/Corona/Gesellschaft/bevoelkerung-sterbefaelle.html
Data as of 23 jan 2021, entire year 2020, same diagram as above but with cumulative numbers. The excess moratlity is about ~1%. More details in this article here (german only).
Data as of 31 jan 2021, comparison of the mortality of 2020 with the years before. 2020 is slightly above the trend, which is climbing due to the demografic structure of the german population. Excess mortality similar to 2018 and 2015 with severe influenza waves. Origin of the data and more explanations here (german only).
Partial overlay (of correct scale) of the graphics ‘(* c)’ and ‘(* d)’ from the Intensive Register page. Source: https://www.intensivregister.de/#/aktuelle-lage/zeitreihen. The low values ​​of occupied [‘belegte’] and vacant [‘freie’] beds before mid-May (to the left of the second vertical line) are negligible, since the hospitals only started reporting beds at that time. ‘Umstellung der Zählweise’ is a change in reporting. The two horizontal green lines show the amount of ICU-beds (2500) that shoud be kept free for emergency use in a pandemic according to the Deutsche Krankenhausgesellschaft.
Corrected Bar chart showing the values ​​of cross-immunity against SARS-CoV-2 from the studies below. Values ​​given as an exact value (blue bar), as a range (blue bar with light gray-blue area) and without a % value (gray). Average value (light blue line): 46%. The sixth of 11 studies was about immunity through antibodies instead of t-cells and therefore has been removed. Below the diagram I show the different thresholds for herd immunity (HIT) that are discussed in science: 20% (some scientists), 42% (Oxford) to 60% (HIT according to the approximation calculation HIT=1–1/Ro), and sometimes up to 90%.

And now?

How about a proof of your own immunity?
How would that work?

  • You’d have a document which (in accordance with the current⁷ legal situation⁸ on the measles vaccination obligation in Germany) is legally⁹ identical¹⁰ to a vaccination certificate, as it proves immunity.
    ( ⁷ ⁸ ⁹ ¹⁰ it’s 2020, nobody knows what’s coming)
  • You’d have a document which, in large, really large¹¹ numbers, should mean that politics can no longer ignore the issue of cross-immunity. And that politics could no longer reject the issue in its appearance as herd immunity as the wrong way, or as only achievable through vaccination.
    ( ¹¹ I mean really many!)

The first results

[UPDATES 30 dec 20/20 jan 21/16 feb 21/25 feb 21]:
By now I have seen nine lab results, three showing cross-immunity, six of them showing no cross-immunity (like mine below):

This sums up to 3/9 = 33,3% cross immunity with the people tested. Sample size still ‘anectdotal’.

80% probability mean 80% probability.
I am not cross-immune or (in the words of the lab:) partially immune against SARS-CoV-2
Three more lab results, where I have the persons consent to publish them anonymously.
Toying with my lab result: extending the spike-C-Term value und changing the SI-value
The values from the two examples above are accordingly to a presentation of the IMD Laboratory: T_cell_response_to_SARS_COV_2_print.pdf
Again, no cross immunity. So I did not cross paths with neither HCoV-HKU1, HCoV-OC43, HCoV-NL63, or HCoV-229E, nor with SARS or MERS and also not with SARS-CoV-2.

Where, how, when, how expensive?

[UPDATE 02 APR 21]:
The how-to now is pretty simple now. Here, on my website:
Here the others of the 22 studies I mentionned above are going to be presented and discussed.

https://www.bin-ich-schon-immun.de/
[ENDE UPDATE]
The consequences of a phone call, now I have to see a doctor, to get myself punctured …

United Kingdom 🇬🇧

London

Private Harley Street Clinic
Press release about the Test
Order form
costs: £ 195,00

Austria

Vienna

Labor Dr. Dostal Wien
Information about the Test
[The laboratory does not carry out the test itself, but forwards the sample]
Costs: not provided, unknown

Germany

Berlin

IMD Labor Berlin 🇬🇧
Information about the Test [PDF]
Order form [PDF]
Costs: € 122,97

Limburg

Biovis Diagnostik MVZ GmbH
Information about the Test [PDF]
Order form [PDF]
Costs: not provided, approx. € 150

Mainz

GanzImmun Diagnostics AG Mainz 🇬🇧
Information about the Test [PDF]
Order form [PDF]
costs: € 154,47

Munich

Lab4more Labor München 🇬🇧
Information about the Test
[no Informationen provided]
Order form [PDF] (a little confusing! The test is on page 4, there is also an english form 🇬🇧 , but I haven’t found the test there)
Costs: not provided, approx. € 150

Straßberg

AID Autoimmun Diagnostika GmbH Straßberg
Information about the Test 🇬🇧
Contact page 🇬🇧
Costs: not provided, unknown

Information about the laboratories — and the fine print

Just reading the information available from the above Laboratories [some do provide english versions] you may ask yourself questions like:

  • what’s the difference between the two?
  • what exactly is the difference between the antibody test (and the difference between the IgA, IgG and IgM-anti-bodies?) and the new test that the laboratories carry out?

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